???? 據(jù)彭博社3月4日?qǐng)?bào)道，石油交易價(jià)格接近每桶61美元，交易員們正在等待周四晚些時(shí)候舉行的關(guān)鍵的歐佩克+產(chǎn)量政策會(huì)議，對(duì)于該組織將為快速緊縮的市場(chǎng)帶回多少供應(yīng)，當(dāng)前并沒(méi)有明確的方向。
????西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油(West Texas Intermediate)價(jià)格在周三上漲2.6%后下跌0.4%，周三美國(guó)燃料庫(kù)存大幅下降提振了價(jià)格。一名代表說(shuō)，歐佩克領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人沙特阿拉伯和俄羅斯周三舉行會(huì)談，尋求在產(chǎn)量問(wèn)題上達(dá)成共識(shí)。利雅得敦促各方謹(jǐn)慎行事，但莫斯科方面尋求增加供應(yīng)。
????在歐佩克及其盟國(guó)削減集體石油產(chǎn)量以推動(dòng)受疫情影響的市場(chǎng)重新平衡之后，原油價(jià)格今年飆升。積極的供應(yīng)管理幫助消耗了庫(kù)存，而全球需求隨著疫苗的推出而復(fù)蘇。這引發(fā)了人們的普遍預(yù)期:作為全球能源市場(chǎng)最大的參與者，將放松能源供應(yīng)限制。
????歐佩克資深觀察人士仍預(yù)計(jì)該組織還會(huì)增加一些產(chǎn)量，產(chǎn)量維持在當(dāng)前水平的可能性很小。這場(chǎng)辯論涉及兩方面:首先，歐佩克是否會(huì)在4月份繼續(xù)提高50萬(wàn)桶的日產(chǎn)量?第二，沙特阿拉伯將如何逐步取消每天100萬(wàn)桶的自愿額外減產(chǎn)?
????這次事關(guān)重大的會(huì)議召開的背景是，有一系列跡象表明石油消費(fèi)正在好轉(zhuǎn)。最近的數(shù)據(jù)顯示，隨著各州重新開放，美國(guó)的通勤正慢慢恢復(fù)正常，而人們待在家里的比率降至11月12日以來(lái)的最低水平。
????王佳晶 摘譯自 彭博社
????原文如下：
????Oil Market Counts Down to Critical OPEC+ Meet With WTI Near $61
????Oil traded near $61 a barrel as traders waited for a critical OPEC+ production-setting meeting later Thursday with no clear steer as to how much supply the cartel will bring back to a fast-tightening market.
????West Texas Intermediate fell 0.4% after rising 2.6% Wednesday, when prices got a lift from a slump in U.S. fuel inventories. Group leaders Saudi Arabia and Russia held talks Wednesday seeking common ground on output as Riyadh urges caution but Moscow seeks to raise supply, according to a delegate.
????Crude has surged this year after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies slashed collective output to drive a rebalancing of the pandemic-roiled market. The aggressive supply management has helped to drain inventories, while worldwide demand recovers with the roll-out of vaccines. That’s spurred widespread expectations that the single largest actor in the global energy market will now loosen the taps.
????Veteran OPEC-watchers still expect some extra barrels from the group, and there’s little chance output will be held at current levels. There are two elements to its debate: first, will the cartel proceed with a 500,000 barrel-a-day collective output hike in April? And second, how will Saudi Arabia phase out the extra cut of 1 million barrels a day it’s been making voluntarily?
????The backdrop to the high-stakes meeting is a steady procession of indicators that oil consumption is on the mend. Among recent figures, data showed U.S. commutes are slowly returning to normal as states reopen, while the rate at which people are staying home fell to the lowest since Nov. 12.
