據(jù)能源世界網(wǎng)5月21日倫敦報(bào)道，歐佩克曾表示，國(guó)際能源署（IEA）的一份報(bào)告建議，投資者不應(yīng)為新石油項(xiàng)目提供資金以抑制排放，如果IEA對(duì)此采取行動(dòng)，可能導(dǎo)致油價(jià)波動(dòng)。

IEA周二表示，如果全球希望在本世紀(jì)中葉實(shí)現(xiàn)凈零排放，投資者就不應(yīng)為新的石油、天然氣和煤炭供應(yīng)項(xiàng)目提供資金。這是該機(jī)構(gòu)迄今發(fā)出的最嚴(yán)厲的限制化石燃料的警告。

13個(gè)成員國(guó)擁有全球80%的原油儲(chǔ)備的歐佩克，其研究部門(mén)制作了一份關(guān)于IEA報(bào)告的內(nèi)部簡(jiǎn)報(bào)文件，路透社(Reuters)看到了這份文件的副本。

歐佩克的報(bào)告稱(chēng)，關(guān)于2021年后不需要新的油氣投資的說(shuō)法，與IEA的其他報(bào)告中經(jīng)常表達(dá)的結(jié)論形成了鮮明對(duì)比，如果一些投資者效仿，這可能成為石油市場(chǎng)潛在不穩(wěn)定的來(lái)源。

歐佩克還表示，IEA報(bào)告中的一種情景可能會(huì)影響企業(yè)的投資方式，并限制石油需求。產(chǎn)油國(guó)集團(tuán)目前預(yù)測(cè)，今年石油需求將強(qiáng)勁復(fù)蘇，并將持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)到21世紀(jì)30年代。

歐佩克稱(chēng)，盡管在假設(shè)和結(jié)果方面，NZE（凈零）情景過(guò)于雄心勃勃，但它肯定會(huì)影響投資決策，這可能會(huì)抑制對(duì)石油和天然氣等化石燃料的需求（增長(zhǎng)），因?yàn)樵S多決策者和石油與天然氣公司 使用IEA的方案進(jìn)行戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃。

歐佩克進(jìn)一步指出，對(duì)于許多發(fā)展中國(guó)家來(lái)說(shuō)，在沒(méi)有國(guó)際援助的情況下實(shí)現(xiàn)凈零排放的途徑并不明確，他們需要技術(shù)和財(cái)政支持才能實(shí)現(xiàn)這一目標(biāo)。

歐佩克表示，如果沒(méi)有更大的國(guó)際合作，到2050年全球二氧化碳排放量將不會(huì)降至零。

郝芬 譯自 能源世界網(wǎng)

原文如下：

OPEC says IEA net-zero pathway could add to oil-price volatility

OPEC has said that an IEA report suggesting that investors should not fund new oil projects to curb emissions could lead to oil-price volatility if it is acted on.

The International Energy Agency on Tuesday said investors should not fund new oil, gas and coal supply projects if the world wants to reach net zero emissions by mid-century, in its starkest warning yet to curb fossil fuels.

The research division at the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, whose 13 members sit on 80% of the world's crude oil reserves, produced an internal briefing document on the IEA's report, a copy of which was seen by Reuters.

"The claim that no new oil and gas investments are needed post-2021 stands in stark contrast with conclusions often expressed in other IEA reports and could be the source of potential instability in oil markets if followed by some investors," OPEC's report said.

OPEC also said a scenario in the IEA's report could affect how companies invest and limit demand for oil. The producer group currently forecasts oil demand will recover strongly this year and continue rising until the 2030s.

"While the NZE (net zero) Scenario seems overly ambitious in terms of assumptions and results, it will certainly influence investment decisions, which may curb demand (growth) for fossil fuels such as oil and gas, as many policymakers and oil & gas companies use the IEA's scenarios for their strategic planning," OPEC said.

OPEC made the further point that for many developing countries, the route to net-zero emissions without international help was not clear and they would need technical and financial support to get there.

"Without greater international cooperation, global CO2 emissions will not fall to net zero by 2050," OPEC said.

?