據(jù)能源世界網(wǎng)5月24日?qǐng)?bào)道，高盛（goldmansachs）表示，預(yù)計(jì)今年第四季度油價(jià)將攀升至每桶80美元，市場(chǎng)也低估了需求反彈。

　　該銀行在周日的報(bào)告中表示，因此，面對(duì)缺乏彈性的供應(yīng)，疫苗驅(qū)動(dòng)的需求大幅增加，油價(jià)上漲的理由依然存在。

　　高盛表示，發(fā)達(dá)市場(chǎng)的需求復(fù)蘇將抵消最近新冠疫情對(duì)消費(fèi)的沖擊，以及南亞和拉丁美洲可能放緩的復(fù)蘇。截至年底，全球原油日需求量可能增加460萬(wàn)桶，大部分增幅可能在未來(lái)3個(gè)月實(shí)現(xiàn)。

　　該報(bào)告表示，隨著疫苗接種加速和封鎖解除，美國(guó)和歐洲的流動(dòng)性正在迅速增加，貨運(yùn)和工業(yè)活動(dòng)也在激增。

　　該行還預(yù)計(jì)，OPEC+將在2021年下半年停止兩個(gè)月增產(chǎn)

　　原文如下：

　　Goldman sees oil hitting $80/bbl despite likely return of Iran supply

　　Goldman Sachs said it expects oil prices to climb to $80 per barrel in the fourth quarter of this year, arguing that the market has underestimated a rebound in demand.

　　Goldman Sachs said a demand recovery in developed markets would offset a recent coronavirus-led hit to consumption and likely slower recovery in South Asia and Latin America.

　　Global demand could increase by 4.6 million barrels per day through year-end, with most of the gains likely in the next 3 months, it said.

　　"Mobility is rapidly increasing in the U.S. and Europe, as vaccinations accelerate and lockdowns are lifted, with freight and industrial activity also surging," the note said.

　　The bank also expects the Organization of the Oil Producing Countries (OPEC) and allies including Russia, a grouping known as OPEC+, to offset any ramp-up in Iran production by halting for two months an increase in its output in the second half of 2021.