據6月30日FX Empire報道，歐佩克聯合技術委員會(Joint Technical Committee)認為，在不同的石油市場供需情況下，到2022年底，原油將處于過剩狀態。
按照歐佩克6月月度報告中的全球石油需求增長假設，非歐佩克國家供應增長，預計經合組織的石油庫存將分別低于2015-2019年第三季度和2021年第四季度的平均水平9600萬桶和1.25億桶。到2022年，石油產量將顯著增加，到年底將達到1.81億桶。
王佳晶 摘譯自 FX Empire
原文如下：
OPEC+ Panel Sees Risk of Oil Market Imbalance After April 2022
The panel, known as the Joint Technical Committee, sees an overhang of crude by the end of 2022 under different scenarios looking at supply and demand in the oil market, the report showed.
Under a base scenario, OECD oil stocks would stand at 96 million barrels and 125 million barrels below the 2015-2019 average for the third and fourth quarters of 2021, respectively, the report said.
“In 2022, a significant increase is seen, leading to an overhang of 181 million barrels by the end of the year,” the report added.
The base case adopts global oil demand growth assumptions and non-OPEC supply growth from OPEC’s June monthly report, with a preliminary forecast for 2022.
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