據(jù)美國(guó)鉆井網(wǎng)站2022年3月15日?qǐng)?bào)道，航運(yùn)信息公司 Kpler首席美洲石油分析師馬特?史密斯表示，歐佩克+3月底舉行的下一次會(huì)議不太可能偏離該組織目前每月日增40萬(wàn)桶原油產(chǎn)量的立場(chǎng)。 

史密斯在發(fā)給美國(guó)鉆井網(wǎng)站的一份聲明中表示：“我們看到，歐佩克+在過(guò)去一年里非常謹(jǐn)慎，盡管阿聯(lián)酋提出了加快增產(chǎn)的建議，歐佩克+仍沒(méi)有對(duì)近期發(fā)生的事件做出反應(yīng)，我們預(yù)計(jì)這種情況將在3月底召開(kāi)的會(huì)議上再次出現(xiàn)。”

惠譽(yù)解決方案油氣主管約瑟夫?加特杜拉日前在接受美國(guó)鉆井網(wǎng)站記者采訪時(shí)表示，歐佩克+協(xié)議絕對(duì)有崩潰的可能。

加特杜拉告訴記者：“歐佩克+提高產(chǎn)量水平來(lái)幫助將油價(jià)降至早些時(shí)候同意的每月日增40萬(wàn)桶原油的水平之上，這可能會(huì)導(dǎo)致雙方關(guān)系惡化。”

3月2日，歐佩克+通過(guò)視頻會(huì)議召開(kāi)了最新一次會(huì)議，會(huì)議指出，當(dāng)前的石油市場(chǎng)基本面表明市場(chǎng)非常平衡。歐佩克+補(bǔ)充稱(chēng)，當(dāng)前的波動(dòng)不是由市場(chǎng)基本面變化造成的，而是由當(dāng)前的地緣政治發(fā)展造成的。 

在為3月2日歐佩克+會(huì)議做準(zhǔn)備而在3月1日召開(kāi)的合作宣言( DOC)最新聯(lián)合技術(shù)委員會(huì)會(huì)議上，歐佩克秘書(shū)長(zhǎng)巴爾金都鼓勵(lì)《合作宣言》參加國(guó)保持積極、靈活和關(guān)注不斷變化的市場(chǎng)環(huán)境。

巴爾金都在歐佩克+的一份聲明中說(shuō)：“無(wú)論我們可能面臨什么樣的挑戰(zhàn)，我們有效和經(jīng)過(guò)驗(yàn)證的DOC框架將繼續(xù)是我們共同成功的操作方法，并幫助我們一步一步、一天一天地接近實(shí)現(xiàn)我們的共同目標(biāo)。” 他補(bǔ)充道：“這種靈活而慎重的方法將再次獲得回報(bào)。”

歐佩克+下一次會(huì)議將于3月31日通過(guò)視頻會(huì)議方式舉行。  

李峻 編譯自 美國(guó)鉆井網(wǎng)站

原文如下：

What Will Happen at the Next OPEC Meeting?

According to Matt Smith, Kpler’s lead Americas oil analyst, OPEC’s meeting at the end of the month is unlikely to yield any deviation from the group’s current stance of increasing production each month by 400,000 barrels per day.

“We have seen the group be very measured over the last year, not reacting to near-term events, and we expect this to be the case once again, despite some overtures from UAE about boosting output faster,” Smith said in a statement sent to Rigzone. 

Speaking to Rigzone last week, Joseph Gatdula, the head of oil and gas at Fitch Solutions, said there is definitely the potential for a collapse in OPEC+ agreement.

“The fallout in relations could be caused by OPEC raising production levels to help cool prices above earlier agreed production cut tapering of 400,000 barrels per day each month,” Gatdula told Rigzone.

“The increase in supply would help cushion the loss of Russian crude from markets and weaken Russia’s ability to sustain its resistance to sanctions,” he added.

The latest OPEC+ meeting, which was held via videoconference on March 2, noted that current oil market fundamentals pointed to a well-balanced market. It added that current volatility was not caused by changes in market fundamentals but by current geopolitical developments.

In the latest Joint Technical Committee of the Declaration of Cooperation meeting, which was held on March 1 in preparation for the OPEC+ meeting on March 2, OPEC Secretary General, Mohammad Sanusi Barkindo, encouraged the DOC’s participating countries to remain proactive, nimble and attentive to changing market conditions.

“No matter what challenges we may face, our efficacious and proven DOC framework will continue to be the modus operandi for our joint success and help move us, step by step and day by day, closer to achieving our common objectives,” Barkindo said in an OPEC statement. “This nimble and measured approach will once again pay off,” he added.

The next OPEC+ meeting is currently scheduled to take place via videoconference on March 31.