?國際貨幣基金組織將沙特今年的經(jīng)濟增長目標定為7.6%,將預(yù)期提高了2.8%。
?石油產(chǎn)量和出口收入的增加為沙特經(jīng)濟提供了動力。
據(jù)今日油價網(wǎng)4月19日報道,國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)周二上調(diào)了沙特經(jīng)濟增長預(yù)期,該組織稱,油價將推動沙特經(jīng)濟進入高增長模式,今年將增長一倍以上。
國際貨幣基金組織將沙特今年的經(jīng)濟增長目標定為7.6%,將預(yù)期提高了2.8%。
雖然這在很大程度上歸因于多年來的高油價,但IMF也注意到非石油收入的增長,并預(yù)計將進一步增長。
IMF在其《世界經(jīng)濟展望》報告中表示:“我們將對沙特經(jīng)濟增長率的估計提高了2.8個百分點,這反映了石油產(chǎn)量根據(jù)歐佩克+協(xié)議的增加,以及更多非石油產(chǎn)量增長超過預(yù)期。”
凱投宏觀的一份報告顯示,3月份沙特石油產(chǎn)量增至1030萬桶/天,同比增長26.7%,是該國近20年來最快的增速。
凱投宏觀預(yù)測沙特經(jīng)濟今年將增長10%,2023年將增長5.3%。
與此同時,據(jù)《阿拉伯新聞》報道,凱投宏觀的經(jīng)濟學家 James Swanston仍然樂觀地認為,沙特將進一步增加產(chǎn)量,超出歐佩克+已達成的協(xié)議。
國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)對沙特阿拉伯的雙重增長預(yù)測出爐之際,該國正將其對整體經(jīng)濟增長的預(yù)測從2021年的6.1%下調(diào)至2022年和2023年的3.6%。
季廷偉 摘譯自 今日油價網(wǎng)
原文如下:
Saudi Economic Growth To Double This Year On High Oil Prices
?The IMF is targeting 7.6% growth for the Saudi economy this year, raising its forecast by 2.8%.
?The increase in oil production and export revenues fuel the Saudi economy.
High oil prices will push Saudi Arabia’s economy into high-growth mode, more than doubling this year, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which raised its growth forecast for the Kingdom on Tuesday.
The IMF is targeting 7.6% growth for the Saudi economy this year, raising its forecast by 2.8%.
While much of this was attributed to multi-year-high oil prices, the IMF has also noted growth and expected further growth in non-oil revenues.
“We raised our estimates of the growth rate of the Saudi economy by 2.8 percentage points, which reflects the increase in oil production in accordance with the OPEC+ agreement, in conjunction with the more non-oil output growth exceeding expectations,” the IMF said in its World Economic Outlook report.
A Capital Economics report has Saudi oil production rising to 10.3 million barrels per day in March, for 26.7% year-on-year growth, which is classified as the fastest rate of growth for the kingdom in nearly two decades.
Capital Economics forecasts the Saudi economy will grow by 10% this year and by 5.3% in 2023.
At the same time, Capital Economics economist James Swanston remains optimistic that the Saudis will further increase output beyond what OPEC+ has agreed to, Arab News reports.
The IMF’s double-growth projections for Saudi Arabia come as it slashes its forecast for overall economic growth from 6.1% in 2021 to 3.6% in 2022 and 2023.
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