據5月19日今日油價報道，在疫情期間發生了大規模裁員之后，美國石油和天然氣行業的就業正在復蘇。但Rystad能源公司周三的一項新分析顯示，在未來五年內，石油行業不會完全復蘇。

根據Rystad計算，美國石油和天然氣行業在疫情期間失去了20萬個工作崗位。這代表了該行業總勞動力的20%。僅在2020年，美國就失去了10萬個石油和天然氣工作崗位，其中大部分是在鉆井工具和服務領域。

現在，隨著對石油和天然氣需求的恢復，石油和天然氣價格也隨之回升，一半以上的工作崗位又重新增加了。但根據Rystad Energy油價預測，剩下的復蘇將會比較緩慢。Rystad Energy預計，今年WTI均價為106美元/桶，明年為70美元/桶，2025年為50美元/桶。

Rystad表示，今年美國石油和天然氣行業的就業崗位將增長12.5%，年底將有97.1萬個油氣行業工作崗位。到2027年，這一數字將從疫情暴發前的107萬增加到109萬。

Rystad還指出，盡管今年就業人數預計將增長12.5%，但由于通貨膨脹影響了油氣公司的利潤，工資今年只會增長2.9%。

然而，到2024年，這一工資增長預計將增加10%。

王佳晶 摘譯自 今日油價

原文如下：

Oil, Gas Employment Will Take Five Years To Recover From Covid: Rystad

Oil and gas sector employment is on the road to recovery in the United States after the significant job shedding that took place during the pandemic era. But a full recovery won't be seen for another five years, a new analysis from Rystad Energy showed on Wednesday.

The U.S. oil and gas industry lost 200,000 jobs during the pandemic, according to Rystad calculations. This represented 20% of the total workforce in the sector. In 2020 alone, 100,000 oil and gas jobs were lost in the United States—mostly in the drilling tools and services segment.

Now, as demand for oil and gas has recovered—and oil and gas prices along with it—more than half of those jobs have since been added back. But the remainder of the recovery is set to be slower, based on Rystad Energy's oil price scenario where WTI averages $106 this year, $70 per barrel next year, and $50 per barrel in 2025.

This year, US oil and gas employment is set to grow by 12.5%, Rystad said, finishing the year with 971,000 O&G jobs. By 2027, that figure is set to reach 1.09 million—up from 1.07 million pre-Covid.

Rystad also noted that while the number of jobs is expected to increase by 12.5% this year, wages are only set to grow 2.9% this year, as inflation hits oil and gas company bottom lines.

By 2024, however, this wage growth is expected to increase by 10%.