據油價網7月29日報道，由于市場普遍忽略了對技術性衰退的擔憂對原油需求的影響，周五原油價格飆升。

美國東部時間晚上11:40，WTI原油交易價格接近100美元，至每桶99.94美元，當日上漲3.52美元（+3.65%）。布倫特原油交易價格高于每桶110美元至110.20美元，當日上漲3.06美元（+2.86%）。

市場似乎無法忽視目前存在的供應緊張局面。周五另一個看漲原油的因素是美國能源情報署公布的5月美國原油產量數據，該數據顯示，美國5月原油產量實際上是下降而非上升，與EIA在其《短期能源展望》中的最新估計相反。

OPEC+下周會議結束時可能不會有大幅增產目標的消息，也在很大程度上提振了油價。周四，五名OPEC+消息人士暗示，OPEC+可能會將9月產量目標維持在8月水平不變。兩名歐佩克+消息人士表示，該組織可能會討論小幅增產。然而，市場意識到，由于長期的產量不足，與該組織當前的目標相比，即使提高產量目標也不太可能導致歐佩克+的實際增產。

WTI價格不僅在當天上漲，而且在一周內都上漲。然而，過去一個月價格有所下降。上個月這個時候，WTI的交易價格接近每桶110美元。今年到目前為止，油價每桶上漲了20美元以上。

Energy Aspects研究主管Amrita Sen周五告訴彭博社，盡管原油價格高企且經濟衰退，但全球石油需求似乎并未下降。

有跡象表明，原油需求尚未從疫情期間完全恢復，庫存緊張，即使全球有數百萬桶原油離開戰略石油儲備。當這些原油在10月份停止從戰略石油儲備庫流出時，市場可能會變得更加緊張。

黎泱 編譯自 油價網

原文如下：

Oil Prices Soar As Market Shrugs Off Recession Fears

The price of crude oil skyrocketed on Friday as the market generally ignored the crude oil demand implications from worries about the technical recession.

At 11:40 p.m., ET, WTI crude was trading near $100 at $99.94 per barrel, an increase of $3.52 (+3.65%) on the day. Brent crude was trading above $110 per barrel at $110.20, up $3.06 (+2.86%) on the day.

The market cannot seem to brush off the tight supply situation that currently exists. Another bullish factor for crude oil on Friday was the Energy Information Administration’s publication of its numbers for U.S. crude oil production for May, which showed that U.S. crude oil production actually fell in May instead of rose, contrary to the EIA’s latest estimates from its Short Term Energy Outlook.

The news that OPEC+’s meeting next week would likely end with no significant production target increase also bolstered prices to a significant degree. On Thursday, five OPEC+ sources suggested that OPEC+ was likely to keep its production targets for September steady with August levels. Two OPEC+ sources said that the group could discuss a small output hike. The market is aware, however, that even a hike in production targets is unlikely to result in an actual OPEC+ production boost due to chronic underproduction compared to the group’s current targets.

WTI prices are not only up on the day but also up on the week. Prices have come down over the past month, however. WTI traded at nearly $110 per barrel this time last month. Prices are up more than $20 per barrel so far this year.

Despite the high price of crude oil and the recession, global oil demand doesn’t seem to be declining, Amrita Sen, director of research at Energy Aspects, told Bloomberg on Friday.

With indications that crude demand hasn’t yet fully recovered from its Covid days, inventories are tight, even with millions of barrels of crude oil leaving Strategic Petroleum Reserves around the globe. When this flow of crude stops flowing from the SPR in October, the market could get even tighter.