據油價網8月8日報道，Energy Aspects的Amrita Sen周一告訴彭博監測，雖然短期內石油和天然氣價格可能會繼續走低，但到冬季到來時，市場將變得異常緊張，每桶石油的價格應該會回到120美元左右。

據美國汽車協會稱，周一美國全國平均每加侖汽油價格繼續下跌，跌至4.059美元。 

與此同時，原油價格遠低于每桶90美元。

Sen表示，由于即將進行的季節性煉油廠維護，她預計價格不會“突然上漲”。然而，到冬天來臨時，特別是11月之后，她預計供應將變得“非常非常緊張”。 

11月1日，美國戰略石油儲備 （SPR） 的釋放將停止。今年3月，美國政府下令每天從美國的緊急原油庫存中釋放100萬桶原油，以降低天然氣價格。根據美國能源部的數據，上周，SPR跌至近四十年來的最低水平。 

在停止SPR釋放之后，歐盟將于12月1日實施對產能大國原油的禁運。 

“市場將很快收緊，”Sen告訴彭博社，“我們仍維持我們對每桶120美元的預測。”

黎泱 編譯自 油價網

原文如下：

Analyst: Oil To Hit $120 Again By Winter

While oil and gas prices may continue to weaken in the near term, by the time winter sets in, the market is going to become extremely tight and the per-barrel price of oil should return to around $120, Energy Aspects’ Amrita Sen told Bloomberg Surveillance on Monday. 

The national average per gallon of gasoline in the United States continued to fall on Monday, dropping to $4.059, according to AAA. 

At the same time, crude oil prices are solidly below $90 per barrel. 

Sen said she is not expecting a “sudden increase” in prices due to upcoming seasonal refinery maintenance; however, by the time winter hits, and particularly after November, she expects supply to become “very, very tight”. 

On November 1st, releases from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) will halt. In March this year, the Administration ordered the release of 1 million barrels per day from the country’s emergency crude stockpile in a bid to lower gas prices. Last week, the SPR fell to its lowest level in nearly four decades, according to the U.S. Department of Energy data. 

The stoppage of the SPR releases will then be followed by the implementation on December 1st of the European Union’s embargo on the larger producer crude. 

“The market is going to tighten up very, very quickly,” Sen told Bloomberg. “We still maintain our forecast of $120 per barrel,” she added.