據世界石油2月8日消息稱，美國石油產量的增長將超過政府之前的預期，因為強勁的油價上漲推動生產商增加鉆探。

根據能源信息署的數據，到2023 年，石油日均產量將達到 1260 萬桶，高于此前估計的 1241萬桶。目前1230萬桶/天的年度歷史最高紀錄是在2019年創下的。EIA在其月度《短期能源展望》報告中稱，今年的產量預測也從此前的每日1180萬桶上調至1197萬桶。

美國供應的增加對美國政府來說是一個可喜的福音。政府已要求供應商提高產量，以幫助壓低能源價格。能源價格正導致美國通脹率升至數十年來最高水平。隨著油價飆升至2014年以來的最高水平，美國兩家最大的石油公司宣布，他們將在美國產量最高的二疊紀盆地增加兩位數的產量。

隨著經濟從大流行時期的放緩中復蘇，供應與需求之間的缺口持續擴大，價格上漲。報告稱，今年全球石油消費量預計將達到每日1.006億桶，高于此前預估的每日1.0052億桶。預計到2023年，石油消費量將增至每天1.025億桶。

預計今年全球石油供應量將增至每天1.0139億桶。這比上個月預測的1.0105億要高。EIA預計，到2023年，全球石油日產量將進一步上升至1.0347億桶。

朱佳妮 摘譯自 世界石油

原文如下：

U.S. sees record oil production next year moving even higher

U.S. oil production will grow even more than the government previously expected as a scorching price rally drives producers to boost drilling.

Oil output will average 12.6 million barrels a day in 2023, an increase from its previous estimate of 12.41 million, according to Energy Information Administration data. The current annual all-time high of 12.3 million barrels a day was set in 2019. This year’s production forecast was also revised higher to 11.97 million barrels a day from an earlier projection of 11.8 million, the EIA said in its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report. 

This extra U.S. supply is a welcome boon for U.S, who has asked suppliers to raise production in order to help tamp down energy prices that are contributing to the highest inflation in decades. In the wake of oil prices surging to their highest since 2014, two of the largest U.S. oil companies announced they would increase production by double digits in the Permian Basin, America’s most prolific oil patch.

Prices have rallied with supplies consistently falling short of demand surging around the globe as economies recover from pandemic-era slowdowns. Global consumption is set to reach 100.6 million barrels a day this year, a higher revision from the last estimate of 100.52 million, according to the report. Consumption is expected to rise to 102.5 million barrels a day in 2023. 

Global petroleum supply are expected to rise to 101.39 million barrels a day this year. That’s an upward revision from last month’s forecast of 101.05 million. The EIA expects global production will rise further to 103.47 million barrels a day in 2023.